{"course":{"slug":"ai-careers","title":"Working in AI","url":"https://addaly.com/learn/ai-careers","level":"beginner","track":"work"},"lesson":{"slug":"what-gets-automated","title":"Which parts of this work are most exposed","url":"https://addaly.com/learn/ai-careers/what-gets-automated","position":80,"of":85,"minutes":7,"answer":"Well-specified work with fast verification goes first; being accountable for the answer goes last.","keyIdea":"Well-specified work with fast verification goes first; being accountable for the answer goes last."},"body":{"format":"markdown","text":"## A test you can apply yourself\n\nForget predictions. Ask three questions about any task:\n\n1. **Is it well specified?** Could you write down what a correct result looks like before starting?\n2. **Are there many examples of it being done?** Millions of instances of this exact task, publicly available.\n3. **Can correctness be checked in seconds?** By a test, a compiler, a rule, a quick glance.\n\nThree yeses means heavily exposed. Three noes means durable for now. Most real work is a mixture, which is why jobs change shape rather than vanishing.\n\n> Figure: The three-question test, as a grid. A two by two grid, rows Checked in seconds and Needs judgement, columns Well specified, many examples and Vague, undocumented: Checked in seconds and Well specified, many examples: Goes first; Checked in seconds and Vague, undocumented: Changes shape; Needs judgement and Well specified, many examples: Changes shape; Needs judgement and Vague, undocumented: Goes last. Well specified, abundantly exampled, checked in seconds: that corner goes first, and it is exactly where beginners used to enter. Accountability for the answer and context that lives in people's heads go last.\n\n## The most exposed work is the newest work\n\nThis is the part people find surprising. Much of the work created by the first wave of AI is what the second wave absorbs: writing large numbers of prompt variations, simple labelling and annotation, routine data cleaning scripts, first-draft dashboards, boilerplate glue code, straightforward report queries.\n\nAlso exposed: the traditional bottom rung. \"Write the SQL for this report.\" \"Turn this spreadsheet into a chart.\" \"Summarise these tickets.\" Well specified, abundantly exampled, quickly checked.\n\nThat is the honest problem for a beginner. The exposure lands hardest exactly where people used to enter.\n\n## What holds up\n\n**Accountability.** Someone has to be answerable when the number is wrong, the model refuses a legitimate customer, or the pipeline reports a loss that did not happen. Organisations do not assign that to a tool. This is why evaluation work is more durable than prompt work: deciding what \"good enough\" means is a responsibility, not a task.\n\n**Undocumented context.** Why the Mexico numbers are always late. Which of the three customer tables anyone actually trusts. Why finance recalculates revenue differently in Q4. This lives in people's heads and in three-year-old chat threads, and it is most of what makes a competent employee competent.\n\n**Work that touches the real organisation.** Getting access approved. Persuading a team to change how they record something. Running an incident at 2am. Negotiating what data may lawfully be used.\n\n**Systems work under constraints.** Latency, cost, permissions, failure modes, data that arrives late or twice. Specifying it correctly is nearly as hard as building it.\n\n## Say the honest thing about timing\n\nNobody knows the timeline. People confidently claiming mass unemployment within two years and people confidently claiming nothing will change are both guessing, and both are usually selling something. What can be observed is direction: tasks meeting the three-yes test are getting cheaper quickly.\n\nThe realistic effect is not that a job disappears but that one person does what four or five did, which reduces hiring volume at the bottom before it touches anyone senior.\n\n## What to do about it\n\nDo not try to out-type the tools. Move toward the parts they cannot own.\n\n- Become the person who can tell whether an output is *correct*, not just whether it looks plausible. That skill needs domain knowledge and a habit of checking, and it is the scarcest thing on most teams.\n- Take jobs where you sit near the mess and near the decision, even if the title is modest.\n- Learn one domain properly: health, logistics, agriculture, lending, education. Context is the moat.\n- Use the tools heavily. Being slower than a colleague who uses them well is a real risk, and a nearer one than the abstract fear.\n\nAnd stay usefully sceptical. Anyone certain about this field in either direction is telling you about their business model, not the future."},"check":{"question":"A company reports that AI now writes most of its internal SQL. A year later, the analytics team has not shrunk. What best explains this?","options":[{"text":"The generated SQL is wrong often enough that people must rewrite it, so nothing was really saved.","correct":false,"tempting":"Assumes exposure is about accuracy, when queries can be perfectly correct and the job still changes shape."},{"text":"Answers became cheap, so demand for them rose, and the scarce work moved to choosing the right questions and vouching for the numbers.","correct":true},{"text":"Companies are slow to reduce headcount, so the cuts are simply still coming.","correct":false,"tempting":"Predicts staffing from the tool alone, ignoring that the work itself was redefined rather than removed."},{"text":"The team spent the year learning new tools, which consumed the time the tools saved.","correct":false,"tempting":"Treats this as a one-off tooling transition rather than a lasting change in what the team is there to do."}]},"prev":{"slug":"being-trusted-with-a-number","title":"Being trusted with a number","url":"https://addaly.com/learn/ai-careers/being-trusted-with-a-number"},"next":{"slug":"keeping-up-without-drowning","title":"Keeping up without drowning","url":"https://addaly.com/learn/ai-careers/keeping-up-without-drowning"},"authorship":"Founder and series editor: Dr Mustafa Mun. Written by AI models to a written standard. Exam keys checked blind by a second model: 3,665 of 3,666 agreed. Academic review invited.","review":{"status":"Draft, open for academic review"},"cite":"Addaly (2026) 'Which parts of this work are most exposed', in Working in AI. Edited by M. Mun. Addaly. Available at: https://addaly.com/learn/ai-careers/what-gets-automated (Accessed: 31 October 2026).","licence":{"name":"CC BY-NC-SA 4.0","url":"https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/"},"reader":{"schema":1,"title":"Which parts of this work are most exposed","courseTitle":"Working in AI","module":{"index":9,"slug":"staying","title":"Staying: the first ninety days and the ten years after"},"answer":null,"keyIdea":"Well-specified work with fast verification goes first; being accountable for the answer goes last.","hero":{"kind":"figure","figure":{"t":"figure","label":"Figure","figure":{"cols":["Well specified, many examples","Vague, undocumented"],"rows":["Checked in seconds","Needs judgement"],"type":"matrix","cells":[["Goes first","Changes shape"],["Changes shape","Goes last"]],"title":"The three-question test, as a grid","caption":"Well specified, abundantly exampled, checked in seconds: that corner goes first, and it is exactly where beginners used to enter. Accountability for the answer and context that lives in people’s heads go last.","cellLabels":[["report SQL, labelling, glue code","a draft a person must correct"],["deciding what correct means","accountability, the Mexico numbers"]]},"alt":"Figure: The three-question test, as a grid. A two by two grid, rows Checked in seconds and Needs judgement, columns Well specified, many examples and Vague, undocumented: Checked in seconds and Well specified, many examples: Goes first; Checked in seconds and Vague, undocumented: Changes shape; Needs judgement and Well specified, many examples: Changes shape; Needs judgement and Vague, undocumented: Goes last. Well specified, abundantly exampled, checked in seconds: that corner goes first, and it is exactly where beginners used to enter. Accountability for the answer and context that lives in people’s heads go last."}},"blocks":[{"t":"h2","id":"a-test-you-can-apply-yourself","runs":[{"text":"A test you can apply yourself"}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Forget predictions. Ask three questions about any task:"}]},{"t":"ol","start":1,"items":[[{"text":"Is it well specified?","b":true},{"text":" Could you write down what a correct result looks like before starting?"}],[{"text":"Are there many examples of it being done?","b":true},{"text":" Millions of instances of this exact task, publicly available."}],[{"text":"Can correctness be checked in seconds?","b":true},{"text":" By a test, a compiler, a rule, a quick glance."}]]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Three yeses means heavily exposed. Three noes means durable for now. Most real work is a mixture, which is why jobs change shape rather than vanishing."}]},{"t":"h2","id":"the-most-exposed-work-is-the-newest-work","runs":[{"text":"The most exposed work is the newest work"}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"This is the part people find surprising. Much of the work created by the first wave of AI is what the second wave absorbs: writing large numbers of prompt variations, simple labelling and annotation, routine data cleaning scripts, first-draft dashboards, boilerplate glue code, straightforward report queries."}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Also exposed: the traditional bottom rung. “Write the SQL for this report.” “Turn this spreadsheet into a chart.” “Summarise these tickets.” Well specified, abundantly exampled, quickly checked."}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"That is the honest problem for a beginner. The exposure lands hardest exactly where people used to enter."}]},{"t":"h2","id":"what-holds-up","runs":[{"text":"What holds up"}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Accountability.","b":true},{"text":" Someone has to be answerable when the number is wrong, the model refuses a legitimate customer, or the pipeline reports a loss that did not happen. Organisations do not assign that to a tool. This is why evaluation work is more durable than prompt work: deciding what “good enough” means is a responsibility, not a task."}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Undocumented context.","b":true},{"text":" Why the Mexico numbers are always late. Which of the three customer tables anyone actually trusts. Why finance recalculates revenue differently in Q4. This lives in people’s heads and in three-year-old chat threads, and it is most of what makes a competent employee competent."}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Work that touches the real organisation.","b":true},{"text":" Getting access approved. Persuading a team to change how they record something. Running an incident at 2am. Negotiating what data may lawfully be used."}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Systems work under constraints.","b":true},{"text":" Latency, cost, permissions, failure modes, data that arrives late or twice. Specifying it correctly is nearly as hard as building it."}]},{"t":"h2","id":"say-the-honest-thing-about-timing","runs":[{"text":"Say the honest thing about timing"}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Nobody knows the timeline. People confidently claiming mass unemployment within two years and people confidently claiming nothing will change are both guessing, and both are usually selling something. What can be observed is direction: tasks meeting the three-yes test are getting cheaper quickly."}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"The realistic effect is not that a job disappears but that one person does what four or five did, which reduces hiring volume at the bottom before it touches anyone senior."}]},{"t":"h2","id":"what-to-do-about-it","runs":[{"text":"What to do about it"}]},{"t":"p","runs":[{"text":"Do not try to out-type the tools. Move toward the parts they cannot own."}]},{"t":"ul","items":[[{"text":"Become the person who can tell whether an output is "},{"text":"correct","i":true},{"text":", not just whether it looks plausible. That skill needs domain knowledge and a habit of checking, and it is the scarcest thing on most teams."}],[{"text":"Take jobs where you sit near the mess and near the decision, even if the title is modest."}],[{"text":"Learn one domain properly: health, logistics, agriculture, lending, education. Context is the moat."}],[{"text":"Use the tools heavily. 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