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Jul 28, 2:47 PM

Bayes theorem is not just a formula, it is like seeing my son’s basketball match—even if he scores, I must watch the whole game to know if it was skill or just one lucky shot! If only 1% have the disease, a positive test could still be wrong for many, because the test itself can make mistakes on healthy people. When the bank said my loan was 'approved,' I celebrated, but then I read the small print about the interest—so now I always look at the whole story, not just the first result.
#exams#study

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